Forex binary betting rise/fall

I can understand that the price of the options can be determined using Black Sholes formula but I think the odds for rise/fall should be complimentary to each other but that isn’t the case.

Any pointers are much appreciated.

 

They could be using some technical analysis formulas.

The bet is on rise/fall of a forex index. How would a bookmaker decide the odds for these two events.

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